Massey Ratings - FIFA World Cup 2022

The race is not to the swift, nor the battle to the strong, ... but time and chance happeneth to them all.
-- Ecclesiastes 9:11

They which run in a race run all, but one receiveth the prize.
-- 1 Corinthians 9:24

Conditional probabilities, based on the Massey Ratings and seed matchups, take into account every possible tournament outcome.
Games are assumed to be independent events.
The table entry for team X, round k, is the probability that X survives round k.
Yellow indicates the team receives a bye.
Green indicates the team has advanced by winning.
Red indicates the team has been eliminated.
Light green/red indicates the projected winners/losers in future rounds.
'Depth' is the average number of rounds a team will survive in the tournament.
'Sched' measures the difficulty of each bracket position's potential schedule