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FCS Playoff
The race is not to the swift, nor the battle to the strong, ... but time and chance happeneth to them all.
-- Ecclesiastes 9:11

They which run in a race run all, but one receiveth the prize.
-- 1 Corinthians 9:24

  • Conditional probabilities, based on the Massey Ratings and seed matchups, take into account every possible tournament outcome.
  • Games are assumed to be independent events.
  • The table entry for team X, round k, is the probability that X survives round k.
  • Yellow indicates the team receives a bye.
  • Green indicates the team has advanced by winning.
  • Red indicates the team has been eliminated.
  • Light green/red indicates the projected winners/losers in future rounds.
  • 'Depth' is the average number of rounds a team will survive in the tournament.
  • 'Sched' measures the difficulty of each bracket position's potential schedule
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