Massey Ratings

High School Football


Key & Description | Predictions | Conferences | CSV | 2006 | 2008
| HSF |

Using games from Thursday, August 16, 2007 to Saturday, December 8, 2007

11-Man Group

    Homefield Advantage:     1.20 Points
    Standard Deviation:     13.72 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.99556
Off/Rate:    0.91715
Def/Rate:    0.90668
Sched/Rate:  0.74654


Least Likely Results


 1 10/26 Franklin (143)             21    Asheville ( 23)            20  0.093
 2  9/21 NW Guilford (177)          21 at Mt Tabor ( 41)             20  0.159
 3  10/5 Victory Chr Center ( 77)   13 at Charlotte Chr ( 20)        11  0.175
 4  11/2 Havelock (220)              8    West Craven ( 82)           0  0.181
 5  8/24 Smithfield-Selma (159)     19 at Nash Cent ( 66)             7  0.192
 6  8/17 SE Halifax (348)           38    Roanoke (272)              36  0.207
 7  8/24 EE Smith (189)             21 at Seventy First ( 88)        14  0.221
 8  10/5 Providence ( 93)           29 at S Mecklenburg ( 35)        22  0.222
 9   9/7 Trinity (262)              35    St Paul's (133)            19  0.222
10  9/28 Richlands (240)            23 at East Duplin (131)          20  0.225

Retro Prediction Percentage: 86.47


Games: 2262 Average Score: 33.01 12.50 Home Team: 1193-984 54.800 Home Score: 24.12 21.34 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 11/2 Mt Pleasant ( 44) 96 Central Acad (393) 0 2 8/24 Cummings (179) 89 at Carrboro (376) 0 3 9/21 Northwood (120) 82 Carrboro (376) 0 Max Total: 1 9/21 Mt Pleasant ( 44) 72 Monroe (163) 48 2 8/24 Athens Drive ( 68) 63 Enloe (162) 47 3 10/26 Huss (132) 55 at Forestview (171) 52 Min Total: 1 10/26 Davie Co ( 45) 3 vs North Forsyth (205) 0 2 10/5 Rosman (362) 3 at Andrews (371) 0 3 8/24 Clayton (149) 3 Aycock (225) 0

1A

    Homefield Advantage:     1.20 Points
    Standard Deviation:     13.72 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.99579
Off/Rate:    0.92410
Def/Rate:    0.91300
Sched/Rate:  0.74532


Least Likely Results


 1  8/17 SE Halifax (348)           38    Roanoke (272)              36  0.207
 2  9/21 Bp McGuinness (363)        10 at East Wilkes (318)           7  0.248
 3 10/26 Perquimans (317)           28    Camden Co (226)            27  0.310
 4   9/7 Hobbton (308)              16 at North Johnston (228)        7  0.333
 5  11/2 Elkin (307)                28 at East Surry (256)           14  0.341
 6  9/21 Northampton-West (341)     36 at Northampton-East (292)     33  0.353
 7  9/21 Manteo (304)               40    Williamston (263)          14  0.400
 8  11/9 N Edgecombe (310)          16 at Manteo (304)                0  0.426
 9  11/2 Swain (276)                21    Murphy (213)               13  0.430
10 11/16 East Wilkes (318)          28 at North Stokes (285)         27  0.432

Retro Prediction Percentage: 89.35


Games: 338 Average Score: 34.05 9.86 Home Team: 167-142 54.045 Home Score: 23.72 20.11 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 9/7 W Montgomery ( 59) 82 Central Acad (393) 0 2 10/19 W Montgomery ( 59) 83 at South Davidson (381) 3 3 11/9 Mt Airy ( 87) 79 vs North Moore (367) 0 Max Total: 1 11/9 Roanoke (272) 52 Northside-Pine (333) 46 2 10/26 Murphy (213) 64 Hayesville (300) 25 3 10/26 Cherokee (264) 50 at Andrews (371) 37 Min Total: 1 10/5 Rosman (362) 3 at Andrews (371) 0 2 10/12 Mattamuskeet (394) 7 Cape Hatteras (395) 0 3 9/21 N Edgecombe (310) 12 at SE Halifax (348) 0

2A

    Homefield Advantage:     1.20 Points
    Standard Deviation:     13.72 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.99171
Off/Rate:    0.88572
Def/Rate:    0.79542
Sched/Rate:  0.71885


Least Likely Results


 1  9/28 Richlands (240)            23 at East Duplin (131)          20  0.225
 2  8/31 Maiden (151)               26    Lincolnton ( 46)           22  0.267
 3 10/19 Holmes (329)               34 at Pasquotank (267)           33  0.268
 4 10/19 Mt Heritage (306)          22    Mitchell (222)             14  0.291
 5 10/12 Franklinton (365)          28 at Warren Co (320)            27  0.299
 6  9/21 Chase (303)                23 at East Henderson (244)       14  0.338
 7  11/2 Graham (275)               27    Cummings (179)             19  0.340
 8  12/8 Lincolnton ( 46)           28 vs S Columbus ( 26)           14  0.384
 9  10/5 South Iredell (216)        26    North Lincoln (121)        18  0.386
10  9/21 North Lincoln (121)        34 at Lincoln East ( 97)          7  0.395

Retro Prediction Percentage: 85.54


Games: 332 Average Score: 34.37 14.17 Home Team: 168-149 52.997 Home Score: 25.12 23.23 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 8/24 Cummings (179) 89 at Carrboro (376) 0 2 9/21 Northwood (120) 82 Carrboro (376) 0 3 10/19 S Columbus ( 26) 62 at South Brunswick (247) 0 Max Total: 1 9/21 Mt Pleasant ( 44) 72 Monroe (163) 48 2 10/5 West Bladen (241) 52 St Paul's (133) 51 3 10/5 Lexington (281) 63 at Carrboro (376) 36 Min Total: 1 10/5 Cent Davidson (243) 7 Ledford (194) 0 2 9/21 Shelby ( 21) 7 at Brevard (102) 0 3 10/12 Forest Hills (178) 10 at West Stanly (211) 0

3A

    Homefield Advantage:     1.20 Points
    Standard Deviation:     13.72 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.99197
Off/Rate:    0.90555
Def/Rate:    0.85914
Sched/Rate:  0.62379


Least Likely Results


 1 10/26 Franklin (143)             21    Asheville ( 23)            20  0.093
 2  11/2 Havelock (220)              8    West Craven ( 82)           0  0.181
 3 10/26 Gray's Creek (290)         10 at Triton (201)                7  0.265
 4  9/28 West Iredell ( 78)         20 at West Rowan ( 31)           18  0.267
 5  11/2 Foard (239)                24 at St Stephen's (186)         14  0.346
 6  9/21 Erwin (269)                20 at Tuscola (174)              17  0.346
 7  8/17 Hunt ( 76)                 27 at Bertie ( 57)                8  0.364
 8 10/12 Concord (127)              38    Anson ( 60)                27  0.396
 9  10/5 Waddell (223)              35    Olympic (172)              24  0.406
10  11/2 Kinston (242)              22 at Eastern Wayne (190)        21  0.427

Retro Prediction Percentage: 85.75


Games: 393 Average Score: 32.62 13.02 Home Team: 209-172 54.856 Home Score: 24.05 21.37 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 11/9 Hickory ( 29) 63 Huss (132) 0 2 10/26 Brown ( 47) 66 at Porter Ridge (344) 8 3 11/2 Asheville ( 23) 62 North Buncombe (155) 6 Max Total: 1 10/26 Huss (132) 55 at Forestview (171) 52 2 10/19 Glenn ( 37) 63 at Parkland ( 99) 41 3 11/16 South Pt ( 13) 70 NW Cabarrus ( 50) 31 Min Total: 1 9/28 Asheboro (191) 5 SW Randolph (343) 0 2 10/26 Concord (127) 7 Parkwood (199) 0 3 11/2 Havelock (220) 8 West Craven ( 82) 0

4A

    Homefield Advantage:     1.20 Points
    Standard Deviation:     13.72 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.98812
Off/Rate:    0.81878
Def/Rate:    0.83232
Sched/Rate:  0.53136


Least Likely Results


 1  9/21 NW Guilford (177)          21 at Mt Tabor ( 41)             20  0.159
 2  8/24 EE Smith (189)             21 at Seventy First ( 88)        14  0.221
 3  10/5 Providence ( 93)           29 at S Mecklenburg ( 35)        22  0.222
 4 10/26 Seventy First ( 88)        13 vs Richmond Co ( 17)           6  0.251
 5  10/5 RJ Reynolds (106)          26    Mt Tabor ( 41)              7  0.294
 6 10/19 Riverside (257)            20    N Durham (156)             16  0.307
 7  9/21 Cent Cabarrus (153)        29 at N Mecklenburg ( 90)        14  0.313
 8  12/8 New Bern (  8)             28 vs Independence (  4)         17  0.327
 9 10/12 Knightdale (230)           35 at Smithfield-Selma (159)      7  0.339
10  8/31 EE Smith (189)             14 at Westover (130)              7  0.345

Retro Prediction Percentage: 87.36


Games: 459 Average Score: 32.29 13.03 Home Team: 248-192 56.364 Home Score: 24.41 20.98 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 8/17 Myers Park (175) 65 Garinger (332) 0 2 10/26 Crest ( 56) 60 East Gaston (323) 0 3 10/5 Person ( 92) 60 E Chapel Hill (294) 0 Max Total: 1 8/24 Athens Drive ( 68) 63 Enloe (162) 47 2 10/19 Independence ( 4) 76 at Weddington (144) 27 3 11/9 Millbrook ( 42) 62 at West Johnston (107) 31 Min Total: 1 10/26 Davie Co ( 45) 3 vs North Forsyth (205) 0 2 8/24 Millbrook ( 42) 3 at Knightdale (230) 0 3 8/17 Sanderson (108) 3 at Clayton (149) 0

NCISAA

    Homefield Advantage:     1.93 Points
    Standard Deviation:     15.13 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.99555
Off/Rate:    0.88921
Def/Rate:    0.96574
Sched/Rate:  0.87675


Least Likely Results


 1  10/5 Victory Chr Center ( 77)   13 at Charlotte Chr ( 20)        11  0.175
 2   9/7 Rocky Mt Acad (184)        46    Arendell-Parrott (101)     22  0.341
 3  8/31 St David's ( 75)           70 at Northeast Acad ( 67)       42  0.396
 4  9/28 Christ Sch (353)           13    Forsyth Cou Day (327)      10  0.452
 5 10/26 Westminster Chr (380)      22    Hickory Grove Chr (377)     8  0.456
 6  11/2 Arendell-Parrott (101)     32 at St David's ( 75)           24  0.483
 7  9/21 Northeast Acad ( 67)       56    Halifax Acad ( 33)         43  0.489
 8 10/26 Forsyth Cou Day (327)      24 at S Lake Chr (336)           10  0.523
 9  9/28 Arendell-Parrott (101)     42    Northeast Acad ( 67)       28  0.525
10 10/12 S Lake Chr (336)           36 at First Assembly (325)       14  0.539

Retro Prediction Percentage: 89.29


Games: 140 Average Score: 43.21 15.49 Home Team: 84-53 61.314 Home Score: 32.22 26.68 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 10/19 Trinity Chr ( 7) 78 Cresset Chr (384) 13 2 8/17 Halifax Acad ( 33) 62 at Lawrence Acad (352) 0 3 9/14 First Assembly (325) 58 at Asheville Sch (392) 0 Max Total: 1 8/31 St David's ( 75) 70 at Northeast Acad ( 67) 42 2 11/2 Northeast Acad ( 67) 78 Rocky Mt Acad (184) 28 3 10/11 Northeast Acad ( 67) 78 at Rocky Mt Acad (184) 28 Min Total: 1 10/12 Wake Chr (375) 8 Fayetteville Chr (379) 0 2 10/5 Forsyth Cou Day (327) 12 at First Assembly (325) 8 3 11/9 Charlotte Chr ( 20) 14 Charlotte Day ( 14) 7

Colonial Carolina

    Homefield Advantage:     3.03 Points
    Standard Deviation:     17.25 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.99301
Off/Rate:    0.93706
Def/Rate:    0.95804
Sched/Rate:  0.98601


Least Likely Results


 1   9/7 Rocky Mt Acad (184)        46    Arendell-Parrott (101)     22  0.341
 2  8/31 St David's ( 75)           70 at Northeast Acad ( 67)       42  0.396
 3  11/2 Arendell-Parrott (101)     32 at St David's ( 75)           24  0.483
 4  9/21 Northeast Acad ( 67)       56    Halifax Acad ( 33)         43  0.489
 5  9/28 Arendell-Parrott (101)     42    Northeast Acad ( 67)       28  0.525
 6  9/21 Rocky Mt Acad (184)        40    Word of God (218)          32  0.726
 7 10/18 Hobgood Acad (351)         27    Lawrence Acad (352)        26  0.731
 8  10/5 St David's ( 75)           29    Arendell-Parrott (101)     16  0.733
 9  9/14 Hobgood Acad (351)         34    Oak Ridge Mil (373)         0  0.760
10  9/14 Trinity Chr (  7)          60 at Northeast Acad ( 67)       22  0.783

Retro Prediction Percentage: 92.54


Games: 67 Average Score: 51.43 18.96 Home Team: 43-22 66.154 Home Score: 39.51 31.57 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 10/19 Trinity Chr ( 7) 78 Cresset Chr (384) 13 2 8/17 Halifax Acad ( 33) 62 at Lawrence Acad (352) 0 3 9/7 Trinity Chr ( 7) 64 at Lawrence Acad (352) 6 Max Total: 1 8/31 St David's ( 75) 70 at Northeast Acad ( 67) 42 2 11/2 Northeast Acad ( 67) 78 Rocky Mt Acad (184) 28 3 10/11 Northeast Acad ( 67) 78 at Rocky Mt Acad (184) 28 Min Total: 1 11/16 Trinity Chr ( 7) 16 Halifax Acad ( 33) 8 2 9/14 Hobgood Acad (351) 34 Oak Ridge Mil (373) 0 3 10/19 Northeast Acad ( 67) 36 Oak Ridge Mil (373) 6

Others

    Homefield Advantage:     1.57 Points
    Standard Deviation:     11.44 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.00000
Off/Rate:    0.00000
Def/Rate:    0.00000
Sched/Rate:  0.00000


Least Likely Results


 1  9/21 Carolina Pride (366)       36    Jireh Prep (346)           32  0.422
 2  10/4 Derita Chr (382)           28 at Kennedy Charter (378)      22  0.534
 3 10/26 Carolina Pride (366)       31    Kennedy Charter (378)      18  0.858
 4  9/28 Mt Zion Chr (291)          38    Jireh Prep (346)           30  0.900
 5   9/7 Jireh Prep (346)           42 at Kennedy Charter (378)      18  0.917
 6  9/14 Jireh Prep (346)           34 at Derita Chr (382)            0  0.922
 7  8/31 Mt Zion Chr (291)          12 at Carolina Pride (366)        0  0.939
 8  8/17 Carolina Pride (366)       12    Derita Chr (382)            6  0.947
 9  8/24 Mt Zion Chr (291)          46    Derita Chr (382)           20  0.998

Retro Prediction Percentage: 77.78


Games: 9 Average Score: 31.00 16.22 Home Team: 5-4 55.556 Home Score: 22.56 24.67 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 9/14 Jireh Prep (346) 34 at Derita Chr (382) 0 2 8/24 Mt Zion Chr (291) 46 Derita Chr (382) 20 3 9/7 Jireh Prep (346) 42 at Kennedy Charter (378) 18 Max Total: 1 9/28 Mt Zion Chr (291) 38 Jireh Prep (346) 30 2 9/21 Carolina Pride (366) 36 Jireh Prep (346) 32 3 8/24 Mt Zion Chr (291) 46 Derita Chr (382) 20 Min Total: 1 8/31 Mt Zion Chr (291) 12 at Carolina Pride (366) 0 2 8/17 Carolina Pride (366) 12 Derita Chr (382) 6 3 9/14 Jireh Prep (346) 34 at Derita Chr (382) 0

Massey Ratings 3.0 Copyright ©; Contact, Tue May 27 12:00:25 2008